Scientific method: Difference between revisions

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'''Scientific method''' is the way that scientists investigate [[phenomenon|phenomena]] and acquire new [[knowledge]]. It is based on [[observable]], [[empirical]], measurable evidence, and subject to [[deductive reasoning|laws]] of [[inductive reasoning|reasoning]].
 
Scientists propose [[hypothesis|hypotheses]] to explain [[phenomena]], and design [[experiment]]al [[research|studies]] to test these. [[Theory#Science|Theories]] that encompass whole domains of inquiry bind hypotheses together into logically coherent wholes. This aids in formulating new hypotheses, as well as in placing groups of hypotheses into a broader context.  
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<!--Please see talk page for discussion on why the word "the" is not used here-->'''Scientific method''' is a body of techniques for investigating [[phenomenon|phenomena]] and acquiring new [[knowledge]], as well as for correcting and integrating previous knowledge. It is based on [[observable]], [[empirical]], measurable evidence, and subject to [[deductive reasoning|laws]] of [[inductive reasoning|reasoning]].
 
Although specialized procedures vary from one field of inquiry to another, there are identifiable features that distinguish scientific inquiry from other methods of developing knowledge.  Scientific researchers propose specific [[hypothesis|hypotheses]] as explanations of natural [[phenomena]], and design [[experiment]]al [[research|studies]] that test these predictions for accuracy.  These steps are repeated in order to make increasingly dependable predictions of future results. [[Theory#Science|Theories]] that encompass whole domains of inquiry serve to bind more specific hypotheses together into logically coherent wholes. This in turn aids in the formation of new hypotheses, as well as in placing groups of specific hypotheses into a broader context of understanding.
 
Among other facets shared by the various fields of inquiry is the conviction that the process must be [[objectivity (philosophy)|objective]] so that the [[scientist]] does not [[bias]] the interpretation of the results or change the results outright.  Another basic expectation is that of making complete documentation of data and methodology available for careful scrutiny by other scientists and researchers, thereby allowing other researchers the opportunity to verify results by attempted [[Reproducibility|reproduction]] of them. Note that reproducibility can not be expected in all fields of science. This also allows statistical measures of the [[reliability (statistics)|reliability]] of the results to be established.  The scientific method also may involve attempts, if possible and appropriate, to achieve control over the factors involved in the area of inquiry, which may in turn be manipulated to test new hypotheses in order to gain further knowledge.


==Elements of scientific method==
==Elements of scientific method==
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There are multiple ways of outlining the basic method shared by all of the fields of scientific inquiry.  The following examples are typical classifications of the most important components of the method on which there is very wide agreement in the [[scientific community]] and among [[Philosophy of science|philosophers of science]], each of which are subject only to marginal disagreements about a few very specific aspects.
The following examples are typical classifications of the most important components of the method  


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The scientific method involves the following basic facets:
The scientific method involves:
* '''Observation'''.  A constant feature of scientific inquiry.
* '''Observation'''.  A constant feature of scientific inquiry.
* '''Description'''.  Information must be reliable, i.e., replicable (repeatable) as well as valid (relevant to the inquiry).
* '''Description'''.  Information must be reliable, i.e., replicable (repeatable) as well as valid (relevant to the inquiry).
* '''Prediction'''.  Information must be valid for observations past, present, and future of given phenomena, i.e., purported "one shot" phenomena do not give rise to the capability to predict, nor to the ability to repeat an experiment.
* '''Prediction'''.  Information must be valid for observations past, present, and future of given phenomena, i.e., purported "one shot" phenomena do not give rise to the capability to predict, nor to the ability to repeat an experiment.
* '''Control'''.  Actively and fairly sampling the range of ''possible'' occurrences, whenever possible and proper, as opposed to the passive acceptance of opportunistic data, is the best way to control or counterbalance the risk of empirical bias.
* '''Control'''.  Actively and fairly sampling the range of ''possible'' occurrences, whenever possible and proper, as opposed to the passive acceptance of opportunistic data, is the best way to control or counterbalance the risk of empirical bias.
 
* '''Falsifiability''',  ''All hypotheses and theories are in principle subject to disproof''.  
* '''Falsifiability''', or the elimination of plausible alternatives.  This is a gradual process that requires repeated experiments by multiple researchers who must be able to replicate results in order to corroborate them.  This requirement, one of the most frequently contended, leads to the following: ''All hypotheses and theories are in principle subject to disproof''.  Thus, there is a point at which there might be a consensus about a particular hypothesis or theory, yet it must in principle remain tentative. As a body of knowledge grows and a particular hypothesis or theory repeatedly brings predictable results, confidence in the hypothesis or theory increases.
* '''Causal explanation'''.  Many scientists and theorists on scientific method argue that concepts of causality are not obligatory to science, but are in fact well-defined only under particular, admittedly widespread conditions. Under these conditions the following requirements are generally regarded as important to scientific understanding:
 
:* '''Identification of causes'''   
* '''Causal explanation'''.  Many scientists and theorists on scientific method argue that concepts of causality are not obligatory to science, but are in fact well-defined only under particular, admittedly widespread conditions. Under these conditions the following requirements are generally regarded as important to scientific understanding:
 
:* '''Identification of causes'''. Identification of the causes of a particular phenomenon to the best achievable extent.
:* '''Covariation of events'''.  The hypothesized causes must [[correlate]] with observed effects.
:* '''Covariation of events'''.  The hypothesized causes must [[correlate]] with observed effects.
:* '''Time-order relationship'''.  The hypothesized causes must precede the observed effects in time.
:* '''Time-order relationship'''.  The hypothesized causes must precede the observed effects in time.
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The following is a more specific and technical description of the hypothesis/testing method, discussion of which follows below.  This general set of elements and organization of procedures will in general tend to be more characteristic of natural sciences and experimental psychology than of disciplines such as sociology and a number of other fields commonly categorized as social sciences.  Among the latter, methods of verification and testing of hypotheses may involve less stringent mathematical and statistical interpretations of these elements within the respective disciplines.  Nonetheless the cycle of hypothesis, verification and formulation of new hypotheses will tend to resemble the basic cycle described below.
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The essential elements of a scientific method are [[iteration]]s, [[recursion]]s, [[interleaving]]s, and [[Partially ordered set|orderings]] of the following:
The essential elements of a scientific method are [[iteration]]s, [[recursion]]s, [[interleaving]]s, and [[Partially ordered set|orderings]] of the following:
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<!-- Image with unknown copyright status removed: [[Image:Scietific_Method.jpg|right|thumb|Representation of the iterations of the scientific method.]] -->
<!-- Image with unknown copyright status removed: [[Image:Scietific_Method.jpg|right|thumb|Representation of the iterations of the scientific method.]] -->


The element of [[observation]] includes both unconditioned observations (prior to any theory) as well as the observation of the experiment and its results. The element of [[experimental design]] must consider the elements of hypothesis development, prediction, and the effects and limits of observation because all of these elements are typically necessary for a valid experiment.   
The element of [[observation]] includes both unconditioned observations (before any theory) as well as the observation of the experiment and its results. The element of [[experimental design]] must consider the elements of hypothesis development, prediction, and the effects and limits of observation because all of these elements are typically necessary for a valid experiment.   


[[Imre Lakatos]] and [[Thomas Kuhn]] had done extensive work on the "theory laden" character of observation. Kuhn (1961) maintained that the scientist generally has a theory in mind before designing and undertaking experiments so as to make empirical observations, and that the "route from theory to measurement can almost never be travelled backward". This perspective implies that the way in which theory is tested is dictated by the nature of the theory itself which led Kuhn (1961, p. 166) to argue that "once it has been adopted by a profession ... no theory is recognized to be testable by any quantitative tests that it has not already passed".
[[Imre Lakatos]] and [[Thomas Kuhn]] had done extensive work on the "theory laden" character of observation. Kuhn (1961) maintained that the scientist generally has a theory in mind before designing and undertaking experiments so as to make empirical observations, and that the "route from theory to measurement can almost never be travelled backward". This perspective implies that the way in which theory is tested is dictated by the nature of the theory itself which led Kuhn (1961, p. 166) to argue that "once it has been adopted by a profession ... no theory is recognized to be testable by any quantitative tests that it has not already passed".


Each element of scientific method is subject to [[peer review]] for possible mistakes. These activities do not describe all that scientists do ([[#Dimensions of practice|see below]]) but apply mostly to experimental sciences (e.g., physics, chemistry). The elements above are often taught in [[education|the educational system]].<ref>In the inquiry-based education paradigm, the stage of "characterization, observation, definition, …" is more briefly summed up under the rubric of a Question.</ref>
Each element of scientific method is subject to [[peer review]]. These activities do not describe all that scientists do ([[#Dimensions of practice|see below]]) but apply mostly to experimental sciences (e.g., physics, chemistry). The elements above are often taught in [[education|the educational system]].<ref>In the inquiry-based education paradigm, the stage of "characterization, observation, definition, …" is more briefly summed up under the rubric of a Question.</ref>


The scientific method is  not a recipe: it requires intelligence, imagination, and creativity.  Further, it is an ongoing cycle, constantly developing more useful, accurate and comprehensive models and methods.  For example, when Einstein developed the Special and General Theories of Relativity, he did not in any way refute or discount Newton's ''Principia''.  On the contrary, if one reduces out the astronomically large, the vanishingly small, and the extremely fast from Einstein's theories — all phenomena that Newton could not have observed — one is left with Newton's equations.  Einstein's theories are expansions and refinements of Newton's theories, and the observations that increase our confidence in them also increase our confidence in Newton's approximations to them.
The scientific method is an ongoing cycle, constantly developing more useful, accurate and comprehensive models and methods.  For example, when Einstein developed the Special and General Theories of Relativity, he did not in any way refute or discount Newton's ''Principia''.  On the contrary, if one reduces out the astronomically large, the vanishingly small, and the extremely fast from Einstein's theories — all phenomena that Newton could not have observed — one is left with Newton's equations.  Einstein's theories are expansions and refinements of Newton's theories, and the observations that increase our confidence in them also increase our confidence in Newton's approximations to them.


The Keystones of Science project, sponsored by the journal ''[[Science (journal)|Science]]'', has selected a number of scientific articles from that journal and annotated them, illustrating how different parts of each article embody the scientific method.  [http://www.sciencemag.org/feature/data/scope/keystone1/ Here] is an annotated example of the scientific method example titled ''Microbial Genes in the [[human genome|Human Genome]]: [[lateral gene transfer|Lateral Transfer]] or Gene Loss?''.
The Keystones of Science project, sponsored by the journal ''[[Science (journal)|Science]]'', has selected a number of scientific articles from that journal and annotated them, illustrating how different parts of each article embody the scientific method.  [http://www.sciencemag.org/feature/data/scope/keystone1/ Here] is an annotated example of the scientific method example titled ''Microbial Genes in the [[human genome|Human Genome]]: [[lateral gene transfer|Lateral Transfer]] or Gene Loss?''.
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The iterative cycle inherent in this step-by-step methodology goes from point 3 to 6 back to 3 again.   
The iterative cycle inherent in this step-by-step methodology goes from point 3 to 6 back to 3 again.   


While this schema outlines a typical hypothesis/testing method,<ref>''See, e.g.'', Gauch, Hugh G., Jr., Scientific Method in Practice (2003), esp. chapters 5-8</ref> it should also be noted that a number of philosophers, historians and sociologists of science (perhaps most notably [[Paul Feyerabend]]) claim that such descriptions of scientific method have little relation to the ways science is actually practiced.
While this schema outlines a typical hypothesis/testing method,<ref>''See, e.g.'', Gauch, Hugh G., Jr., Scientific Method in Practice (2003), esp. chapters 5-8</ref> a number of philosophers, historians and sociologists of science (perhaps most notably [[Paul Feyerabend]]) claim that such descriptions of scientific method have little relation to the ways science is actually practiced.


====[[Image:DNA icon (25x25).png]]DNA example====
====[[Image:DNA icon (25x25).png]]DNA example====
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===Characterizations===
===Characterizations===
The scientific method depends upon increasingly more sophisticated characterizations of subjects of the investigation. (The ''subjects'' can also be called ''[[list of unsolved problems|lists of unsolved problems]]'' or the ''unknowns''.) For example, [[Benjamin Franklin]] correctly characterized [[St. Elmo's fire]] as [[electrical]] in [[nature]], but it has taken many experiments and theory to establish this.


The scientific method depends upon increasingly more sophisticated characterizations of subjects of the investigation. (The ''subjects'' can also be called ''[[list of unsolved problems|lists of unsolved problems]]'' or the ''unknowns''.) For example, [[Benjamin Franklin]] correctly characterized [[St. Elmo's fire]] as [[electrical]] in [[nature]], but it has taken a long series of experiments and theory to establish this. While seeking the pertinent properties of the subjects, this careful thought may also entail some definitions and observations; the [[observations]] often demand careful [[measurements]] and/or counting.  
Scientific measurements taken are usually tabulated, graphed, or mapped, and statistical analyses of them. The measurements might be made in a controlled setting, such as a laboratory, or made on more or less inaccessible or unmanipulatable objects such as stars or human populations. The measurements often require specialized scientific instruments such as thermometers, spectroscopes, or voltmeters, and the progress of a scientific field is usually intimately tied to their invention and development.  


The systematic, careful collection of measurements or counts of relevant quantities is often the critical difference between pseudo-sciences, such as alchemy, and a science, such as chemistry. Scientific measurements taken are usually tabulated, graphed, or mapped, and statistical manipulations, such as [[correlation]] and [[regression]], performed on them. The measurements might be made in a controlled setting, such as a laboratory, or made on more or less inaccessible or unmanipulatable objects such as stars or human populations. The measurements often require specialized scientific instruments such as thermometers, spectroscopes, or voltmeters, and the progress of a scientific field is usually intimately tied to their invention and development.
Measurements also demand the use of ''[[operational definition]]s'' of relevant quantities. That is, a scientific quantity is described or defined by how it is measured, as opposed to some more vague, inexact or "idealized" definition. For example, [[electrical current]], measured in amperes, may be operationally defined in terms of the mass of silver deposited in a certain time on an electrode in an electrochemical device that is described in some detail. The operational definition of a thing often relies on comparisons with standards: the operational definition of "mass" ultimately relies on the use of an artifact, such as a certain kilogram of platinum-iridium kept in a laboratory in France.  
 
Measurements demand the use of ''[[operational definition]]s'' of relevant quantities. That is, a scientific quantity is described or defined by how it is measured, as opposed to some more vague, inexact or "idealized" definition. For example, [[electrical current]], measured in amperes, may be operationally defined in terms of the mass of silver deposited in a certain time on an electrode in an electrochemical device that is described in some detail. The operational definition of a thing often relies on comparisons with standards: the operational definition of "mass" ultimately relies on the use of an artifact, such as a certain kilogram of platinum-iridium kept in a laboratory in France.  


The scientific definition of a term sometimes differs substantially from their [[natural language]] usage. For example, [[mass]] and [[weight]] overlap in meaning in common discourse, but have distinct meanings in physics. Scientific quantities are often characterized by their [[units of measure]] which can later be described in terms of conventional [[physical unit]]s when communicating the work.  
The scientific definition of a term sometimes differs substantially from their [[natural language]] usage. For example, [[mass]] and [[weight]] overlap in meaning in common discourse, but have distinct meanings in physics. Scientific quantities are often characterized by their [[units of measure]] which can later be described in terms of conventional [[physical unit]]s when communicating the work.  


Measurements in scientific work are also usually accompanied by estimates of their [[uncertainty]]. The uncertainty is often estimated by making repeated measurements of the desired quantity. Uncertainties may also be calculated by consideration of the uncertainties of the individual underlying quantities that are used. Counts of things, such as the number of people in a nation at a particular time, may also have an uncertainty due to limitations of the method used. Counts may only represent a sample of desired quantities, with an uncertainty that depends upon the sampling method used and the number of samples taken.  
Measurements are also usually accompanied by estimates of their [[uncertainty]]. The uncertainty is often estimated by making repeated measurements. Uncertainties may also be calculated by consideration of the uncertainties of the individual underlying quantities that are used. Counts of things, such as the number of people in a nation at a particular time, may also have an uncertainty due to limitations of the method used. Counts may only represent a sample of desired quantities, with an uncertainty that depends upon the sampling method used and the number of samples taken.  


New theories sometimes arise upon realizing that certain terms had not previously been sufficiently clearly defined. For example, [[Albert Einstein|Albert Einstein's]] first paper on [[Special relativity|relativity]] begins by defining [[Relativity of simultaneity|simultaneity]] and the means for determining [[length]]. These ideas were skipped over by [[Isaac Newton]] with, "''I do not define [[time in physics#Galileo's water clock|time]], space, place and [[motion (physics)|motion]], as being well known to all.''" Einstein's paper then demonstrates that they (viz., absolute time and length independent of motion) were approximations. [[Francis Crick]] cautions us that when characterizing a subject, however, it can be premature to define something when it remains ill-understood.<ref>Crick, Francis (1994), ''The Astonishing Hypothesis'' ISBN 0-684-19431-7 p.20</ref> In Crick's study of consciousness, he actually found it easier to study awareness in the [[visual system]], rather than to study Free Will, for example. His cautionary example was the gene;  the gene was much more poorly understood before Watson and Crick's pioneering discovery of the structure of DNA; it would have been counterproductive to spend much time on the definition of the gene, before them.
New theories sometimes arise upon realizing that certain terms had not previously been sufficiently clearly defined. For example, [[Albert Einstein|Albert Einstein's]] first paper on [[Special relativity|relativity]] begins by defining [[Relativity of simultaneity|simultaneity]] and the means for determining [[length]]. These ideas were skipped over by [[Isaac Newton]] with, "''I do not define [[time in physics#Galileo's water clock|time]], space, place and [[motion (physics)|motion]], as being well known to all.''" Einstein's paper then demonstrates that they (viz., absolute time and length independent of motion) were approximations. [[Francis Crick]] cautions us that when characterizing a subject, however, it can be premature to define something when it remains ill-understood.<ref>Crick, Francis (1994), ''The Astonishing Hypothesis'' ISBN 0-684-19431-7 p.20</ref> In Crick's study of consciousness, he actually found it easier to study awareness in the [[visual system]], rather than to study Free Will, for example. His cautionary example was the gene;  the gene was much more poorly understood before Watson and Crick's pioneering discovery of the structure of DNA; it would have been counterproductive to spend much time on the definition of the gene, before them.


====[[Image:DNA icon (25x25).png]]DNA/characterizations====
====[[Image:DNA icon (25x25).png]]DNA/characterizations====
 
: [[DNA#The history of DNA research|The history of the discovery]] of the structure of [[DNA]] is a classic example of [[#Elements of scientific method|the elements of scientific method]]: in [[1950]] it was known that [[genetic inheritance]] had a mathematical description, starting with the studies of [[Gregor Mendel]], but the mechanism was unclear. Researchers in [[William Lawrence Bragg|Bragg's]] laboratory at [[University of Cambridge|Cambridge University]] made [[X-ray]] [[diffraction]] pictures of various [[molecule]]s, starting with [[crystal]]s of [[salt]], and proceeding to more complicated substances. Using clues painstakingly assembled over the course of decades, beginning with its chemical composition, it was determined that it should be possible to characterize the physical structure of DNA, and the X-ray images would be the vehicle.
: [[DNA#The history of DNA research|The history of the discovery]] of the structure of [[DNA]] is a classic example of [[#Elements of scientific method|the elements of scientific method]]: in [[1950]] it was known that [[genetic inheritance]] had a mathematical description, starting with the studies of [[Gregor Mendel]]. But the mechanism of the gene was unclear. Researchers in [[William Lawrence Bragg|Bragg's]] laboratory at [[University of Cambridge|Cambridge University]] made [[X-ray]] [[diffraction]] pictures of various [[molecule]]s, starting with [[crystal]]s of [[salt]], and proceeding to more complicated substances. Using clues which were painstakingly assembled over the course of decades, beginning with its chemical composition, it was determined that it should be possible to characterize the physical structure of DNA, and the X-ray images would be the vehicle.


====Precession of Mercury====
====Precession of Mercury====
[[Image:Perihelion_precession.jpg|thumb|right|[[Precession]] of the [[perihelion]] (very exaggerated)]]
[[Image:Perihelion_precession.jpg|thumb|right|[[Precession]] of the [[perihelion]] (very exaggerated)]]
The characterization element can require extended and extensive study, even centuries. It took thousands of years of measurements, from the  [[Chaldea]]n, [[India]]n, [[Persian Empire|Persia]]n, [[Greece|Greek]], [[Arab]]ic and [[European]] astronomers, to record the motion of planet [[Earth]]. Newton was able to condense these measurements into consequences of his [[laws of motion]]. But the [[perihelion]] of the planet [[Mercury (planet)|Mercury]]'s [[orbit]] exhibits a precession which is not fully explained by Newton's laws of motion. The observed difference for Mercury's precession, between Newtonian theory and relativistic theory (approximately 43 arc-seconds per century), was one of the things that occurred to Einstein as a possible early test of his theory of [[General Relativity]].
The characterization element can require extended and extensive study. It took thousands of years of measurements, from the  [[Chaldea]]n, [[India]]n, [[Persian Empire|Persia]]n, [[Greece|Greek]], [[Arab]]ic and [[European]] astronomers, to record the motion of planet [[Earth]]. Newton condensed these measurements into consequences of his [[laws of motion]], but the [[perihelion]] of the planet [[Mercury (planet)|Mercury]]'s [[orbit]] exhibits a precession which is not fully explained by Newton's laws of motion. The observed difference for Mercury's precession, between Newtonian theory and relativistic theory (approximately 43 arc-seconds per century), was one of the things that occurred to Einstein as a possible early test of his theory of [[General Relativity]].


===Hypothesis development===
===Hypothesis development===
 
A [[hypothesis]] is a suggested explanation of a phenomenon, or a reasoned proposal suggesting a possible correlation between or among a set of phenomena. Hypotheses may have the form of a [[mathematical model]], or they can be formulated as [[existential quantification|existential statements]], stating that some particular instance of the phenomenon being studied has some characteristic and causal explanations, which have the general form of [[Universal quantification|universal statements]], stating that every instance of the phenomenon has a particular characteristic.  
A [[hypothesis]] is a suggested explanation of a phenomenon, or alternately a reasoned proposal suggesting a possible correlation between or among a set of phenomena.
 
Normally hypotheses have the form of a [[mathematical model]].  Sometimes, but not always, they can also be formulated as [[existential quantification|existential statements]], stating that some particular instance of the phenomenon being studied has some characteristic and causal explanations, which have the general form of [[Universal quantification|universal statements]], stating that every instance of the phenomenon has a particular characteristic.  


Scientists are free to use whatever resources they have — their own creativity, ideas from other fields, [[induction (philosophy)|induction]], [[Bayesian inference]], and so on — to imagine possible explanations for a phenomenon under study.  [[Charles Sanders Peirce]], borrowing a page from [[Aristotle]] (''[[Prior Analytics]]'', [[Inquiry#Abduction|2.25]]) described the incipient stages of [[inquiry]], instigated by the "irritation of doubt" to venture a plausible guess, as ''[[Inquiry#Abduction|abductive reasoning]]''.  The history of science is filled with stories of scientists claiming a "flash of inspiration", or a hunch, which then motivated them to look for evidence to support or refute their idea.  [[Michael Polanyi]] made such creativity the centrepiece of his discussion of methodology.  
Scientists are free to use whatever resources they have — their own creativity, ideas from other fields, [[induction (philosophy)|induction]], [[Bayesian inference]], and so on — to imagine possible explanations for a phenomenon under study.  [[Charles Sanders Peirce]], borrowing a page from [[Aristotle]] (''[[Prior Analytics]]'', [[Inquiry#Abduction|2.25]]) described the incipient stages of [[inquiry]], instigated by the "irritation of doubt" to venture a plausible guess, as ''[[Inquiry#Abduction|abductive reasoning]]''.  The history of science is filled with stories of scientists claiming a "flash of inspiration", or a hunch, which then motivated them to look for evidence to support or refute their idea.  [[Michael Polanyi]] made such creativity the centrepiece of his discussion of methodology.  


[[Karl Popper]], following others, notably [[Charles Peirce]], has argued that a hypothesis must be [[falsifiable]], and that a proposition or theory cannot be called scientific if it does not admit the possibility of being shown false. It must at least in principle be possible to make an observation that would show the proposition to be false, even if that observation had not yet been made.
[[Karl Popper]] argued that a hypothesis must be [[falsifiable]], and that a proposition or theory cannot be called scientific if it does not admit the possibility of being shown false. It must at least in principle be possible to make an observation that would show the proposition to be false, even if that observation had not yet been made.


[[William Glen]] observes that
[[William Glen]] observes that
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In general scientists tend to look for theories that are "[[elegant]]" or "[[beautiful]]". In contrast to the usual English use of these terms, they here refer to a theory in accordance with the known facts, which is nevertheless relatively simple and easy to handle. If a model is mathematically too complicated, it is hard to deduce any [[#Prediction from the hypothesis|prediction]].  Note that 'simplicity' may be perceived differently by different individuals and cultures.
In general, scientists tend to look for theories that are "[[elegant]]" or "[[beautiful]]". In contrast to the usual English use of these terms, they here refer to a theory in accordance with the known facts, which is nevertheless relatively simple and easy to handle. If a model is mathematically too complicated, it is hard to deduce any [[#Prediction from the hypothesis|prediction]].  Note that 'simplicity' may be perceived differently by different individuals and cultures.


====[[Image:DNA icon (25x25).png]]''DNA/hypotheses''====
====[[Image:DNA icon (25x25).png]]''DNA/hypotheses''====
 
: [[Linus Pauling]] proposed that DNA was a triple helix. [[Francis Crick]] and [[James Watson]] learned of Pauling's hypothesis, understood from existing data that Pauling was wrong and realized that Pauling would soon realize his mistake.  So the race was on to figure out the correct structure.  Except that Pauling did not realize at the time that he was in a race!
: [[Linus Pauling]] proposed that DNA was a triple helix. [[Francis Crick]] and [[James Watson]] learned of Pauling's hypothesis, understood from existing data that Pauling was wrong and realized that Pauling would soon realize his mistake.  So the race was on to figure out the correct structure.  Except that Pauling did not realize at the time that he was in a race!


===Predictions from the hypotheses===
===Predictions from the hypotheses===
Any useful hypothesis will enable [[prediction]]s, by [[reasoning]] including [[deductive reasoning]]. It might predict the outcome of an experiment in a laboratory setting or the observation of a phenomenon in nature. The prediction can also be statistical and only talk about probabilities.  
Any useful hypothesis will enable [[prediction]]s, by [[reasoning]] including [[deductive reasoning]]. It might predict the outcome of an experiment in a laboratory setting or the observation of a phenomenon in nature. The prediction can also be statistical and only talk about probabilities.  
It is essential that the outcome be currently unknown. Only in this case does the eventuation increase the probability that the hypothesis be true. If the outcome is already known, it's called a consequence and should have already been considered while [[#Hypothesis development|formulating the hypothesis]].
If the predictions are not accessible by observation or experience, the hypothesis is not yet useful for the method, and must wait for others who might come afterward, and perhaps rekindle its line of reasoning. For example, a new technology or theory might make the necessary experiments feasible.


====[[Image:DNA icon (25x25).png]]''DNA/predictions''====
====[[Image:DNA icon (25x25).png]]''DNA/predictions''====
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===Experiments===
===Experiments===
{{mainarticle|Experiments}}
{{mainarticle|Experiments}}
Once predictions are made, they can be tested by experiments. If test results contradict predictions, then the hypotheses are called into question and explanations may be sought. Sometimes experiments are conducted incorrectly and are at fault. If the results confirm the predictions, then the hypotheses are considered likely to be correct but might still be wrong and are subject to [[#Evaluations and iterations |further testing.]]
Once predictions are made, they can be ''tested'' by experiments. If the outcome contradicts the predictions, then the hypotheses are called into question and explanations may be sought. Sometimes experiments are conducted incorrectly and are at fault. If the results confirm the predictions, then the hypotheses are considered likely to be correct but might still be wrong and are subject to [[#Evaluations and iterations |further testing.]]


Depending on the predictions, the experiments can have different shapes. It could be a classical experiment in a laboratory setting, a [[double-blind]] study or an archeological [[excavation]]. Even taking a plane from [[New York]] to [[Paris]] is an experiment which tests the [[aerodynamics|aerodynamical]] hypotheses used for constructing the plane.  
Scientists assume an attitude of openness and accountability on the part of those conducting an experiment. Detailed record keeping is essential, to provide evidence of the effectiveness and integrity of the procedure and to also assist in reproducing the experimental results. This tradition can be seen in the work of [[Hipparchus (astronomer)|Hipparchus (190 BCE - 120 BCE)]], when determining a value for the precession of the Earth over 2100 years ago, and 1000 years before Al-Batani.


Scientists assume an attitude of openness and accountability on the part of those conducting an experiment. Detailed recordkeeping is essential, to aid in recording and reporting on the experimental results, and providing evidence of the effectiveness and integrity of the procedure. They will also assist in reproducing the experimental results. This tradition can be seen in the work of [[Hipparchus (astronomer)|Hipparchus (190 BCE - 120 BCE)]], when determining a value for the precession of the Earth over 2100 years ago, and 1000 years before Al-Batani.
NOte that experioments are not a necessary part of scientific method. There are purelly observational sciences, or fields of science, like [[history]] and [[astronomy]].


====[[Image:DNA icon (25x25).png]]''DNA/experiments''====
====[[Image:DNA icon (25x25).png]]''DNA/experiments''====
: Before proposing their model Watson and Crick had previously seen x-ray diffraction images by [[Rosalind Franklin]], [[Maurice Wilkins]], and [[Raymond Gosling]].  However, they later reported that Franklin initially rebuffed their suggestion that DNA might be a double helix. Franklin had immediately spotted flaws in the initial hypotheses about the structure of DNA by Watson and Crick.  The [http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/photo51/ X-shape] in X-ray images helped confirm the helical structure of DNA.
: Before proposing their model Watson and Crick had previously seen x-ray diffraction images by [[Rosalind Franklin]], [[Maurice Wilkins]], and [[Raymond Gosling]].  However, they later reported that Franklin initially rebuffed their suggestion that DNA might be a double helix. Franklin had immediately spotted flaws in the initial hypotheses about the structure of DNA by Watson and Crick.  The [http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/photo51/ X-shape] in X-ray images helped confirm the helical structure of DNA.


==Evaluation and iteration==
==Evaluation and iteration==
===Testing and improvement===
The scientific process is iterative. At any stage it is possible that some consideration will lead the scientist to repeat an earlier part of the process. Failure to develop an interesting hypothesis may lead a scientist to redefine the subject they are considering. Failure of a hypothesis to produce interesting and testable predictions may lead to reconsideration of the hypothesis or of the definition of the subject. Failure of the experiment to produce interesting results may lead the scientist to reconsidering the experimental method, the hypothesis or the definition of the subject.
 
The scientific process is iterative. At any stage it is possible that some consideration will lead the scientist to repeat an earlier part of the process. Failure to develop an interesting hypothesis may lead a scientist to re-define the subject they are considering. Failure of a hypothesis to produce interesting and testable predictions may lead to reconsideration of the hypothesis or of the definition of the subject. Failure of the experiment to produce interesting results may lead the scientist to reconsidering the experimental method, the hypothesis or the definition of the subject.


Other scientists may start their own research and enter the process at any stage. They might adopt the characterization and formulate their own hypothesis, or they might adopt the hypothesis and deduce their own predictions. Often the experiment is not done by the person who made the prediction and the characterization is based on experiments done by someone else. Published results of experiments can also serve as a hypothesis predicting their own reproducibility.
Other scientists may start their own research and enter the process at any stage. They might adopt the characterization and formulate their own hypothesis, or they might adopt the hypothesis and deduce their own predictions. Often the experiment is not done by the person who made the prediction and the characterization is based on experiments done by someone else. Published results of experiments can also serve as a hypothesis predicting their own reproducibility.


====[[Image:DNA icon (25x25).png]]''DNA/iterations''====
====[[Image:DNA icon (25x25).png]]''DNA/iterations''====
: After considerable fruitless experimentation, being discouraged by their superior from continuing, and numerous false starts, Watson and Crick were able to infer the essential structure of [[DNA]] by concrete [[model (abstract)|modelling]] [[DNA#Discovery of the structure of DNA|of the physical shapes]] of the [[nucleotide]]s which comprise it. They were guided by the bond lengths which had been deduced by [[Linus Pauling]] and the X-ray diffraction images of [[Rosalind Franklin]].
: After considerable fruitless experimentation, being discouraged by their superior from continuing, and numerous false starts, Watson and Crick were able to infer the essential structure of [[DNA]] by concrete [[model (abstract)|modelling]] [[DNA#Discovery of the structure of DNA|of the physical shapes]] of the [[nucleotide]]s which comprise it. They were guided by the bond lengths which had been deduced by [[Linus Pauling]] and the X-ray diffraction images of [[Rosalind Franklin]].


===Confirmation===
===Confirmation===
<!--Possibly unfree image removed--[[Image:Ball Lightning.jpg|thumb|right|200px|[[ball lightning|ball lightning?]]]]-->
Science is a social enterprise, and scientific work tends to be accepted by the community when it has been confirmed. Crucially, experimental and theoretical results must be reproduced by others within the science community. Researchers have given their lives for this vision; [[Georg Wilhelm Richmann]] was killed by [[lightning]] ([[1753]]) when attempting to replicate the [[1752]] [[kite flying|kite]] [[experiment]] of [[Benjamin Franklin]].<ref>See, e.g., Physics Today, Vol. 59, #1, p42. [http://www.physicstoday.org/vol-59/iss-1/p42.html]</ref>
Science is a social enterprise, and scientific work tends to be accepted by the community when it has been confirmed. Crucially, experimental and theoretical results must be reproduced by others within the science community. Researchers have given their lives for this vision; [[Georg Wilhelm Richmann]] was killed by [[lightning]] ([[1753]]) when attempting to replicate the [[1752]] [[kite flying|kite]] [[experiment]] of [[Benjamin Franklin]].<ref>See, e.g., Physics Today, Vol. 59, #1, p42. [http://www.physicstoday.org/vol-59/iss-1/p42.html]</ref>


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{{main|Models of scientific inquiry}}
{{main|Models of scientific inquiry}}


===Classical model===
The classical model of scientific inquiry derives from [[Aristotle]], who distinguished the forms of approximate and exact reasoning, set out the threefold scheme of [[abductive reasoning|abductive]], [[deductive reasoning|deductive]], and [[inductive reasoning|inductive]] inference, and also treated the compound forms such as reasoning by [[analogy]].
The classical model of scientific inquiry derives from [[Aristotle]], who distinguished the forms of approximate and exact reasoning, set out the threefold scheme of [[abductive reasoning|abductive]], [[deductive reasoning|deductive]], and [[inductive reasoning|inductive]] inference, and also treated the compound forms such as reasoning by [[analogy]].


===Pragmatic model===
{{main|Pragmatic theory of truth}}
{{main|Pragmatic theory of truth}}
[[Charles Peirce]] considered scientific inquiry to be a species of the genus ''inquiry'', which he defined as any means of fixing belief, that is, any means of arriving at a settled opinion on a matter in question.  He observed that inquiry in general begins with a state of uncertainty and moves toward a state of certainty, sufficient at least to terminate the inquiry for the time being.  He graded the prevalent forms of inquiry according to their evident success in achieving their common objective, scoring scientific inquiry at the high end of this scale.  At the low end he placed what he called the ''method of tenacity'', a die-hard attempt to deny uncertainty and fixate on a favored belief.  Next in line he placed the ''method of authority'', a determined attempt to conform to a chosen source of ready-made beliefs.  After that he placed what might be called the ''method of congruity'', also called the ''a priori'', the ''dilettante'', or the ''what is agreeable to reason'' method.  Peirce observed the fact of human nature that almost everybody uses almost all of these methods at one time or another, and that even scientists, being human, use the method of authority far more than they like to admit.  But what recommends the specifically scientific method of inquiry above all others is the fact that it is deliberately designed to arrive at the ultimately most secure beliefs, upon which the most successful actions can be based.
[[Charles Peirce]] considered scientific inquiry to be a species of the genus ''inquiry'', which he defined as any means of fixing belief, that is, any means of arriving at a settled opinion on a matter in question.  He observed that inquiry in general begins with a state of uncertainty and moves toward a state of certainty, sufficient at least to terminate the inquiry for the time being.  He graded the prevalent forms of inquiry according to their evident success in achieving their common objective, scoring scientific inquiry at the high end of this scale.  At the low end he placed what he called the ''method of tenacity'', a die-hard attempt to deny uncertainty and fixate on a favored belief.  Next in line he placed the ''method of authority'', a determined attempt to conform to a chosen source of ready-made beliefs.  After that he placed what might be called the ''method of congruity'', also called the ''a priori'', the ''dilettante'', or the ''what is agreeable to reason'' method.  Peirce observed the fact of human nature that almost everybody uses almost all of these methods at one time or another, and that even scientists, being human, use the method of authority far more than they like to admit.  But what recommends the specifically scientific method of inquiry above all others is the fact that it is deliberately designed to arrive at the ultimately most secure beliefs, upon which the most successful actions can be based.


===Computational approaches===
===Computational approaches===
{{section-stub}}
Many subspecialties of [[applied logic]] and [[computer science]], including [[artificial intelligence]], [[computational learning theory]], [[inferential statistics]], and [[knowledge representation]], are concerned with setting out computational, logical, and statistical frameworks for the various types of inference involved in scientific inquiry, in particular, [[abductive reasoning|hypothesis formation]], [[deductive reasoning|logical deduction]], and [[inductive reasoning|empirical testing]].  Some of these draw on [[measure (mathematics)|measures]] of [[complexity]] from [[algorithmic information theory]] to guide the making of predictions from prior [[probability distribution|distributions]] of experience, for example, see the complexity measure called the ''[[speed prior]]'' from which a computable strategy for optimal inductive reasoning can be derived.
Many subspecialties of [[applied logic]] and [[computer science]], to name a few, [[artificial intelligence]], [[computational learning theory]], [[inferential statistics]], and [[knowledge representation]], are concerned with setting out computational, logical, and statistical frameworks for the various types of inference involved in scientific inquiry, in particular, [[abductive reasoning|hypothesis formation]], [[deductive reasoning|logical deduction]], and [[inductive reasoning|empirical testing]].  Some of these applications draw on [[measure (mathematics)|measures]] of [[complexity]] from [[algorithmic information theory]] to guide the making of predictions from prior [[probability distribution|distributions]] of experience, for example, see the complexity measure called the ''[[speed prior]]'' from which a computable strategy for optimal inductive reasoning can be derived.


==Philosophical issues==
==Philosophical issues==
{{main|Philosophy of science}}
{{main|Philosophy of science}}


Scientific researchers generally express a high level of confidence in scientific method.  It would hardly make sense for them to continue seeking knowledge that way if they did not.  What justifies their level of confidence that scientific method, under some conception, model, or recipe, is truly a good way to achieve the knowledge that it promises?  That is a question about the ''grounds of validity'' of scientific method, also referred to as the problem of ''justification'' or ''warrant''.
Scientific researchers generally express a high level of confidence in scientific method.  What justifies their level of confidence that scientific method, under some conception, model, or recipe, is truly a good way to achieve the knowledge that it promises?  That is a question about the ''grounds of validity'' of scientific method, also referred to as the problem of ''justification'' or ''warrant''. While the philosophy of science has limited direct impact on day-to-day scientific practice, it plays a vital role in justifying and defending the scientific approach. There is disagreement over whether there is a single 'scientific method' or many of them.  


While the [[philosophy of science]] has limited direct impact on day-to-day scientific practice, it plays a vital role in justifying and defending the scientific approach.  There is disagreement over whether there exists a single 'scientific method' or a plurality of them. In philosophical circles scientific method has been the source of much debate. Despite this, there remains agreement on a set of core principles, discussed above and in the sections that follow, which apply across the gamut of scientific inquiry.
Philosophers of science are interested in to what extent the actual practice of scientists conforms to the ''[[method|espoused methods]]'' or the ''[[norm|ostensible norms]]'', to which most of them apparently assent; some question whether scientific knowledge is actually produced by a defined, describable, or determinate [[methodology]] (see, for instance, the writings of [[Paul Feyerabend|Feyerabend]] and [[Thomas Samuel Kuhn|Kuhn]]).


The [[philosophy of science]] has among its topics of interest the question of how far the actual practice of scientific researchers conforms to the ''[[method|espoused methods]]'' or the ''[[norm|ostensible norms]]'', to which the majority of them expressly or tacitly assent. In the process of subjecting the conventional assumptions to critically reflective examination, writers in these fields periodically generate controversies as to whether scientific knowledge is actually produced by a defined, describable, or determinate [[methodology]] (see, for instance, the writings of [[Paul Feyerabend|Feyerabend]] and [[Thomas Samuel Kuhn|Kuhn]]).
We find ourselves in a world that is not directly understandable. We sometimes disagree about the [[fact]]s of the things we see in the world around us, and some things in the world are at odds with our understanding. The scientific method attempts to provide a way in which we can reach agreement and understanding. A "perfect" scientific method might work in such a way that [[rationality|rational]] application of the method would always result in agreement and understanding; a perfect method would arguably be [[algorithm|algorithmic]], and not leave any room for rational agents to disagree. As with all [[Philosophy|philosophical]] topics, the search has been neither straightforward nor simple. [[Logical positivism|Logical Positivist]], [[empiricism|empiricist]], [[falsifiability|falsificationist]], and other theories have claimed to give a definitive account of the logic of science, but each has been criticised.  


We find ourselves in a world that is not directly understandable. We find that we sometimes disagree with others as to the [[fact]]s of the things we see in the world around us, and we find that there are things in the world that sometimes are at odds with our present understanding. The scientific method attempts to provide a way in which we can reach agreement and understanding. A "perfect" scientific method might work in such a way that [[rationality|rational]] application of the method would always result in agreement and understanding; a perfect method would arguably be [[algorithm|algorithmic]], and so not leave any room for rational agents to disagree. As with all [[Philosophy|philosophical]] topics, the search has been neither straightforward nor simple. [[Logical positivism|Logical Positivist]], [[empiricism|empiricist]], [[falsifiability|falsificationist]], and other theories have claimed to give a definitive account of the logic of science, but each has in turn been criticised.
[[Werner Heisenberg]] in a quote that he attributed to [[Albert Einstein]] many years later, stated [Heisenberg 1971]:
 
[[Werner Heisenberg]] in a quote that he attributed to [[Albert Einstein]] many years after the fact, stated [Heisenberg 1971]:
: It is quite wrong to try founding a theory on observable magnitudes alone. In reality the very opposite happens. It is the theory which decides what we can observe. You must appreciate that observation is a very complicated process. The phenomenon under observation produces certain events in our measuring apparatus. As a result, further processes take place in the apparatus, which eventually and by complicated paths produce sense impressions and help us to fix the effects in our consciousness.  Along this whole path—from the phenomenon to its fixation in our consciousness—we must be able to tell how nature functions, must know the natural laws at least in practical terms, before we can claim to have observed anything at all. Only theory, that is, knowledge of natural laws, enables us to deduce the underlying phenomena from our sense impressions. When we claim that we can observe something new, we ought really to be saying that, although we are about to formulate new natural laws that do not agree with the old ones, we nevertheless assume that the existing laws—covering the whole path from the phenomenon to our consciousness—function in such a way that we can rely upon them and hence speak of “observation”.
: It is quite wrong to try founding a theory on observable magnitudes alone. In reality the very opposite happens. It is the theory which decides what we can observe. You must appreciate that observation is a very complicated process. The phenomenon under observation produces certain events in our measuring apparatus. As a result, further processes take place in the apparatus, which eventually and by complicated paths produce sense impressions and help us to fix the effects in our consciousness.  Along this whole path—from the phenomenon to its fixation in our consciousness—we must be able to tell how nature functions, must know the natural laws at least in practical terms, before we can claim to have observed anything at all. Only theory, that is, knowledge of natural laws, enables us to deduce the underlying phenomena from our sense impressions. When we claim that we can observe something new, we ought really to be saying that, although we are about to formulate new natural laws that do not agree with the old ones, we nevertheless assume that the existing laws—covering the whole path from the phenomenon to our consciousness—function in such a way that we can rely upon them and hence speak of “observation”.


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===Problem of demarcation===
===Problem of demarcation===
 
The problem of evaluating a system of thought with regard to its status as science is often called the [[demarcation problem]].  The criteria for a system of assumptions, methods, and theories to qualify as science vary in their details from application to application, but they typically include (1) the formulation of hypotheses that meet the logical criterion of [[contingency]], defeasibility, or [[falsifiability]] and the closely related [[empirical]] and [[practical]] criterion of [[testability]], (2) a grounding in empirical evidence, and (3) the use of scientific method. The procedures of science typically include a number of [[heuristic]] guidelines, such as the principles of conceptual economy or theoretical [[parsimony]] that fall under the rubric of [[Ockham's razor]]. The following is a list of additional features that are highly desirable in a scientific theory.
The problem of evaluating a system of thought with regard to its status as science is often called the [[demarcation problem]].  The criteria for a system of assumptions, methods, and theories to qualify as science vary in their details from application to application, but they typically include (1) the formulation of hypotheses that meet the logical criterion of [[contingency]], defeasibility, or [[falsifiability]] and the closely related [[empirical]] and [[practical]] criterion of [[testability]], (2) a grounding in empirical evidence, and (3) the use of scientific method. The procedures of science typically include a number of [[heuristic]] guidelines, such as the principles of conceptual economy or theoretical [[parsimony]] that fall under the rubric of [[Ockham's razor]]. A conceptual system that fails to meet a significant number of these criteria is likely to be considered non-scientific. 
The following is a list of additional features that are highly desirable in a scientific theory.
 
:* Consistent.  Generates no obvious logical contradictions, and [[scientific formalism|'saves the phenomena']], being consistent with observation.
:* Consistent.  Generates no obvious logical contradictions, and [[scientific formalism|'saves the phenomena']], being consistent with observation.
:* Parsimonious.  Economical in the number of assumptions and hypothetical entities.
:* Parsimonious.  Economical in the number of assumptions and hypothetical entities.
:* Pertinent.  Describes and explains observed phenomena.
:* Pertinent.  Describes and explains observed phenomena.
 
:* [[Falsifiability|Falsifiable]] and [[Testability|testable]].
:* Falsifiable and testable.  See [[Falsifiability]] and [[Testability]].
:* Reproducible.
 
:* Correctable and dynamic.   
:* Reproducible.  Makes predictions that can be tested by any observer, with trials extending indefinitely into the future.
 
:* Correctable and dynamic.  Subject to modification as new observations are made.
 
:* Integrative, robust, and corrigible.  Subsumes previous theories as approximations, and allows possible subsumption by future theories.  See [[Correspondence principle]]
:* Integrative, robust, and corrigible.  Subsumes previous theories as approximations, and allows possible subsumption by future theories.  See [[Correspondence principle]]
:* Provisional or tentative.  Does not assert the absolute certainty of the theory.
:* Provisional or tentative.  Does not assert the absolute certainty of the theory.


==Communication, community, culture==
==Communication, community, culture==
 
Often the scientific method is not employed by a single person, but by several cooperating directly or indirectly. Such cooperation can be regarded as one of the defining elements of a [[scientific community]]. Various techniques have been developed to ensure the integrity of the scientific method within such an environment.  
Frequently the scientific method is not employed by a single person, but by several people cooperating directly or indirectly. Such cooperation can be regarded as one of the defining elements of a [[scientific community]]. Various techniques have been developed to ensure the integrity of the scientific method within such an environment.  


===Peer review evaluation===  
===Peer review evaluation===  
Scientific journals use a process of ''[[peer review]]'', in which scientists' manuscripts are submitted by editors of scientific journals to (usually one to three) fellow (usually anonymous) scientists familiar with the field for evaluation. The referees may or may not recommend publication, publication with suggested modifications, or, sometimes, publication in another journal. This serves to keep the scientific literature free of unscientific or crackpot work, helps to cut down on obvious errors, and generally otherwise improve the quality of the scientific literature. Work announced in the popular press before going through this process is generally frowned upon. Sometimes peer review inhibits the circulation of unorthodox work, and at other times may be too permissive. The peer review process is not always successful, but has been very widely adopted by the scientific community.
Scientific journals use a process of ''[[peer review]]'', in which manuscripts are submitted by editors of scientific journals to (usually one to three) fellow (usually anonymous) scientists familiar with the field for evaluation. The referees may or may not recommend publication, publication with suggested modifications, or, sometimes, publication in another journal. This helps to keep the scientific literature free of unscientific work, reduces obvious errors, and generally otherwise improve the quality of the scientific literature. The peer review process has been criticised, but has been very widely adopted by the scientific community.


===Documentation and replication===
===Documentation and replication===
 
Sometimes experimenters may make systematic errors during their experiments, or (in rare cases) deliberately falsify their results. Consequently, it is a common practice for other scientists to attempt to repeat the experiments in order to duplicate the results, thus further validating the hypothesis. As a result, experimenters are expected to maintain detailed records of their experiments, to provide evidence of the effectiveness and integrity of the procedure and assist in reproduction. These procedural records may also assist in the conception of new experiments to test the hypothesis, and may prove useful to engineers who might examine the potential practical applications of a discovery. Note that it is not possible for a scientist to record ''everything'' that took place in an experiment. He must select the facts he believes to be relevant to the experiment and report them. This may lead to problems if some supposedly irrelevant feature is questioned. For example, [[Heinrich Hertz]] did not report the size of the room used to test Maxwell's equations, which later turned out to account for a small deviation in the results. The problem is that parts of the theory itself need to be assumed in order to select and report the experimental conditions. Observations are sometimes hence described as being 'theory-laden'.
Sometimes experimenters may make systematic errors during their experiments, or (in rare cases) deliberately falsify their results. Consequently, it is a common practice for other scientists to attempt to repeat the experiments in order to duplicate the results, thus further validating the hypothesis.  
 
As a result, experimenters are expected to maintain detailed records of their experimental procedures, in order to provide evidence of the effectiveness and integrity of the procedure and assist in reproduction. These procedural records may also assist in the conception of new experiments to test the hypothesis, and may prove useful to engineers who might examine the potential practical applications of a discovery.
 
Note that it is not possible for a scientist to record ''everything'' that took place in an experiment. He must select the facts he believes to be relevant to the experiment and report them. This may lead, unavoidably, to problems later if some supposedly irrelevant feature is questioned. For example, [[Heinrich Hertz]] did not report the size of the room used to test Maxwell's equations, which later turned out to account for a small deviation in the results. The problem is that parts of the theory itself need to be assumed in order to select and report the experimental conditions. The observations are sometimes hence described as being 'theory-laden'.


===Dimensions of practice===
===Dimensions of practice===
The primary constraints on contemporary western science are:
The primary constraints on contemporary western science are:
* Publication, i.e. [[Peer review]]
* Publication, i.e. [[Peer review]]
* Resources (mostly funding)
* Resources (mostly funding)
It has not always been like this: in the old days of the "gentleman scientist" funding (and to a lesser extent publication) were far weaker constraints.


Both of these constraints indirectly bring in a scientific method &mdash; work that too obviously violates the constraints will be difficult to publish and difficult to get funded. Journals do not require submitted papers to conform to anything more specific than "good scientific practice" and this is mostly enforced by peer review. Originality, importance and interest are more important - see for example the [http://www.nature.com/nature/submit/get_published/index.html author guidelines] for ''[[Nature (journal)|Nature]]''.
Both of these constraints indirectly bring in a scientific method &mdash; work that too obviously violates the constraints will be difficult to publish and difficult to get funded. Journals do not require submitted papers to conform to anything more specific than "good scientific practice" and this is mostly enforced by peer review. Originality, importance and interest are more important - see for example the [http://www.nature.com/nature/submit/get_published/index.html author guidelines] for ''[[Nature (journal)|Nature]]''.
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{{main|History of scientific method}}
{{main|History of scientific method}}
:''See also [[Timeline of the history of scientific method]]''
:''See also [[Timeline of the history of scientific method]]''
The development of the scientific method is inseparable from the history of science itself. [[Ancient Egypt]]ian documents, such as early [[papyri]], describe methods of medical diagnosis. In [[Ancient Greece|ancient Greek]] culture, the first elements of the inductive scientific method clearly become well established. Significant progress in methodology was made in [[early Muslim philosophy]], in particular using experiments to distinguish between competing scientific theories set within a generally empirical orientation. The fundamental tenets of the basic scientific method crystallized no later than the rise of the modern [[physical science]]s, in the [[17th century|17th]] and [[18th century|18th]] centuries. In his work ''[[Novum Organum]]'' ([[1620]]) — a reference to [[Aristotle]]'s ''[[Organon]]'' — [[Francis Bacon]] outlined a new system of [[logic]] to improve upon the old [[philosophy|philosophical]] process of [[syllogism]]. Then, in [[1637]], [[René Descartes]] established the framework for a scientific method's guiding principles in his treatise, ''[[Discourse on Method]]''. These writings are considered critical in the historical development of the scientific method.
The development of the scientific method is inseparable from the history of science itself. [[Ancient Egypt]]ian documents, such as early [[papyri]], describe methods of medical diagnosis. In [[Ancient Greece|ancient Greek]] culture, the first elements of the inductive scientific method clearly become well established. Significant progress in methodology was made in [[early Muslim philosophy]], in particular using experiments to distinguish between competing scientific theories set within a generally empirical orientation. The fundamental tenets of the basic scientific method crystallized no later than the rise of the modern [[physical science]]s, in the [[17th century|17th]] and [[18th century|18th]] centuries. In his work ''[[Novum Organum]]'' ([[1620]]) — a reference to [[Aristotle]]'s ''[[Organon]]'' — [[Francis Bacon]] outlined a new system of [[logic]] to improve upon the old [[philosophy|philosophical]] process of [[syllogism]]. Then, in [[1637]], [[René Descartes]] established the framework for a scientific method's guiding principles in his treatise, ''[[Discourse on Method]]''. These writings are considered critical in the historical development of the scientific method.


In the late 19th century, [[Charles Sanders Peirce]] proposed a schema that would turn out to have considerable influence in the development of current scientific method generally.  Peirce accelerated the progress on several fronts. Firstly, speaking in broader context in "How to Make Our Ideas Clear" (1878) [http://members.door.net/arisbe/menu/library/bycsp/ideas/id-frame.htm], Peirce outlined an objectively verifiable method to test the truth of putative knowledge on a way that goes beyond mere foundational alternatives, focusing upon both ''deduction'' and ''induction'' .  He thus placed induction and deduction in a complementary rather than competitive context (the latter of which had been the primary trend at least since [[David Hume]], who wrote in the mid-to-late 18th century). Secondly, and of more direct importance to modern method, Peirce put forth the basic schema for hypotheis/testing that continues to prevail today. Extracting the theory of inquiry from its raw materials in classical logic, he refined it in parallel with the early development of symbolic logic to address the then-current problems in scientific reasoning. Peirce examined and articulated the three fundamental modes of reasoning that, as discussed above in this article, play a role in inquiry today, the processes that are currently known as [[abductive reasoning|abductive]], [[deductive reasoning|deductive]], and [[inductive reasoning|inductive]] inference.  Thirdly, he played a major role in the progress of symbolic logic itself — indeed this was his primary specialty.
In the late 19th century, [[Charles Sanders Peirce]] proposed a schema that would turn out to have considerable influence in the development of current scientific method generally.  Speaking in broader context in "How to Make Our Ideas Clear" (1878) [http://members.door.net/arisbe/menu/library/bycsp/ideas/id-frame.htm], Peirce outlined an objectively verifiable method to test the truth of putative knowledge on a way that goes beyond mere foundational alternatives, focusing upon both ''deduction'' and ''induction''.  He thus placed induction and deduction in a complementary rather than competitive context (the latter of which had been the primary trend at least since [[David Hume]], who wrote in the mid-to-late 18th century). Secondly, Peirce put forth the basic schema for hypotheis/testing that continues to prevail today. Extracting the theory of inquiry from its raw materials in classical logic, he refined it in parallel with the early development of symbolic logic to address the then-current problems in scientific reasoning. Peirce examined and articulated the three fundamental modes of reasoning that, as discussed above, play a role in inquiry today, the processes currently known as [[abductive reasoning|abductive]], [[deductive reasoning|deductive]], and [[inductive reasoning|inductive]] inference.  


[[Karl Popper]] (1902-1994), beginning in the 1930s and with increased vigor after World War II, argued that a hypothesis must be [[falsifiable]] and, following Peirce and others, that science would best progress using deductive reasoning as its primary emphasis, known as [[critical rationalism]].  His astute formulations of logical procedure helped to rein in exessive use of inductive speculation upon inductive speculation, and also strengthened the conceptual foundation for today's peer review procedures.
[[Karl Popper]] (1902-1994), beginning in the 1930s argued that a hypothesis must be [[falsifiable]] and, following Peirce and others, that science would best progress using deductive reasoning as its primary emphasis, known as [[critical rationalism]].  His astute formulations of logical procedure helped to rein in exessive use of inductive speculation upon inductive speculation, and also strengthened the conceptual foundation for today's peer review procedures.


==Notes and references==
==Notes and references==
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* [[Aristotle]], "[[Prior Analytics]]", [[Hugh Tredennick]] (trans.), pp. 181-531 in ''Aristotle, Volume&nbsp;1'', [[Loeb Classical Library]], William Heinemann, London, UK, 1938.
* [[Aristotle]], "[[Prior Analytics]]", [[Hugh Tredennick]] (trans.), pp. 181-531 in ''Aristotle, Volume&nbsp;1'', [[Loeb Classical Library]], William Heinemann, London, UK, 1938.
 
* [[Charles Sanders Peirce|Peirce CS]], ''Essays in the Philosophy of Science'', Vincent Tomas (ed.), Bobbs–Merrill, New York, NY, 1957.
* [[Noam Chomsky|Chomsky, Noam]], ''Reflections on Language'', Pantheon Books, New York, NY, 1975.
* [[Charles Sanders Peirce|Peirce CS]], "Lectures on Pragmatism", Cambridge, MA, March 26 – May 17, 1903.  Reprinted in part, ''Collected Papers'', CP 5.14–212.  Reprinted with Introduction and Commentary, Patricia Ann Turisi (ed.), ''Pragmatism as a Principle and a Method of Right Thinking:  The 1903 Harvard "Lectures on Pragmatism"'', State University of New York Press, Albany, NY, 1997.  Reprinted, pp. 133–241, Peirce Edition Project (eds.), ''The Essential Peirce, Selected Philosophical Writings, Volume 2 (1893–1913)'', Indiana University Press, Bloomington, IN, 1998.
 
* [[Charles Sanders Peirce|Peirce, C.S.]], ''Essays in the Philosophy of Science'', Vincent Tomas (ed.), Bobbs–Merrill, New York, NY, 1957.
 
* [[Charles Sanders Peirce|Peirce, C.S.]], "Lectures on Pragmatism", Cambridge, MA, March 26 – May 17, 1903.  Reprinted in part, ''Collected Papers'', CP 5.14–212.  Reprinted with Introduction and Commentary, Patricia Ann Turisi (ed.), ''Pragmatism as a Principle and a Method of Right Thinking:  The 1903 Harvard "Lectures on Pragmatism"'', State University of New York Press, Albany, NY, 1997.  Reprinted, pp. 133–241, Peirce Edition Project (eds.), ''The Essential Peirce, Selected Philosophical Writings, Volume 2 (1893–1913)'', Indiana University Press, Bloomington, IN, 1998.
 
* [[Charles Peirce|Peirce, C.S.]], ''Collected Papers of Charles Sanders Peirce'', vols. 1-6, [[Charles Hartshorne]] and [[Paul Weiss (philosopher)|Paul Weiss]] (eds.), vols. 7-8, [[Arthur W. Burks]] (ed.), Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1931-1935, 1958.  Cited as CP vol.para.
* [[Charles Peirce|Peirce, C.S.]], ''Collected Papers of Charles Sanders Peirce'', vols. 1-6, [[Charles Hartshorne]] and [[Paul Weiss (philosopher)|Paul Weiss]] (eds.), vols. 7-8, [[Arthur W. Burks]] (ed.), Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1931-1935, 1958.  Cited as CP vol.para.
* [[Wesley C. Salmon|Salmon, Wesley C.]], ''Four Decades of Scientific Explanation'', University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis, MN, 1990.


==Further reading==
==Further reading==
* [[Francis Bacon (philosopher)|Bacon, Francis]] ''Novum Organum (The New Organon)'', 1620.  Bacon's work described many of the accepted principles, underscoring the importance of [[Theory]], empirical results, data gathering, experiment, and independent corroboration.
* [[Francis Bacon (philosopher)|Bacon, Francis]] ''Novum Organum (The New Organon)'', 1620.  Bacon's work described many of the accepted principles, underscoring the importance of [[Theory]], empirical results, data gathering, experiment, and independent corroboration.
* [[Henry H. Bauer|Bauer, Henry H.]], ''Scientific Literacy and the Myth of the Scientific Method'', University of Illinois Press, Champaign, IL, 1992
* [[Henry H. Bauer|Bauer, Henry H.]], ''Scientific Literacy and the Myth of the Scientific Method'', University of Illinois Press, Champaign, IL, 1992
* [[William I. B. Beveridge|Beveridge, William I. B.]], ''The Art of Scientific Investigation'', Vintage/Alfred A. Knopf, 1957.
* [[William I. B. Beveridge|Beveridge, William I. B.]], ''The Art of Scientific Investigation'', Vintage/Alfred A. Knopf, 1957.
* [[Richard J. Bernstein|Bernstein, Richard J.]], ''Beyond Objectivism and Relativism:  Science, Hermeneutics, and Praxis'', University of Pennsylvania Press, Philadelphia, PA, 1983.
* [[Richard J. Bernstein|Bernstein, Richard J.]], ''Beyond Objectivism and Relativism:  Science, Hermeneutics, and Praxis'', University of Pennsylvania Press, Philadelphia, PA, 1983.
* [[Stevo Bozinovski|Bozinovski, Stevo]], ''Consequence Driven Systems:  Teaching, Learning, and Self-Learning Agents'', GOCMAR Publishers, Bitola, Macedonia, 1995.
* [[Baruch A. Brody|Brody, Baruch A.]], and [[Richard E. Grandy|Grandy, Richard E.]], ''Readings in the Philosophy of Science'', 2nd edition, Prentice Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ, 1989.
* [[Arthur W. Burks|Burks, Arthur W.]], ''Chance, Cause, Reason — An Inquiry into the Nature of Scientific Evidence'', University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1977.
* [[John Dewey|Dewey, John]], ''How We Think'', D.C. Heath, Lexington, MA, 1910.  Reprinted, [[Prometheus Books]], Buffalo, NY, 1991.
* [[John Dewey|Dewey, John]], ''How We Think'', D.C. Heath, Lexington, MA, 1910.  Reprinted, [[Prometheus Books]], Buffalo, NY, 1991.
* [[John Earman|Earman, John]] (ed.), ''Inference, Explanation, and Other Frustrations:  Essays in the Philosophy of Science'', University of California Press, Berkeley & Los Angeles, CA, 1992.
* [[Bas C. van Fraassen|Fraassen, Bas C. van]], ''The Scientific Image'', Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK, 1980.
* [[Paul Feyerabend|Feyerabend, Paul K.]], ''Against Method, Outline of an Anarchistic Theory of Knowledge'', 1st published, 1975.  Reprinted, Verso, London, UK, 1978.
* [[Paul Feyerabend|Feyerabend, Paul K.]], ''Against Method, Outline of an Anarchistic Theory of Knowledge'', 1st published, 1975.  Reprinted, Verso, London, UK, 1978.
* [[Hans-Georg Gadamer|Gadamer, Hans-Georg]], ''Reason in the Age of Science'', Frederick G. Lawrence (trans.), MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 1981.
* [[Ronald N. Giere|Giere, Ronald N.]] (ed.), ''Cognitive Models of Science'', vol. 15 in 'Minnesota Studies in the Philosophy of Science', University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis, MN, 1992.
* [[Ian Hacking|Hacking, Ian]], ''Representing and Intervening, Introductory Topics in the Philosophy of Natural Science'', Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1983.
* [[Werner Heisenberg|Heisenberg, Werner]], ''Physics and Beyond, Encounters and Conversations'', A.J. Pomerans (trans.), Harper and Row, New York, NY 1971, pp. 63–64.
* [[Werner Heisenberg|Heisenberg, Werner]], ''Physics and Beyond, Encounters and Conversations'', A.J. Pomerans (trans.), Harper and Row, New York, NY 1971, pp. 63–64.
* [[Gerald Holton|Holton, Gerald]], ''Thematic Origins of Scientific Thought, Kepler to Einstein'', 1st edition 1973, revised edition, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1988.
* [[William Stanley Jevons|Jevons, William Stanley]], ''The Principles of Science: A Treatise on Logic and Scientific Method'', 1874, 1877, 1879.  Reprinted with a foreword by [[Ernst Nagel]], Dover Publications, New York, NY, 1958.
* [[Thomas Kuhn|Kuhn, Thomas S.]], "The Function of Measurement in Modern Physical Science", ''ISIS'' 52(2),  161–193, 1961.
* [[Thomas Kuhn|Kuhn, Thomas S.]], "The Function of Measurement in Modern Physical Science", ''ISIS'' 52(2),  161–193, 1961.
* Kuhn, Thomas S., ''The Structure of Scientific Revolutions'', University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1962.  2nd edition 1970.  3rd edition 1996.
* Kuhn, Thomas S., ''The Structure of Scientific Revolutions'', University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1962.  2nd edition 1970.  3rd edition 1996.
* Kuhn, Thomas S., ''The Essential Tension, Selected Studies in Scientific Tradition and Change'', University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1977.
* Kuhn, Thomas S., ''The Essential Tension, Selected Studies in Scientific Tradition and Change'', University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1977.
* [[Bruno Latour|Latour, Bruno]], ''Science in Action, How to Follow Scientists and Engineers through Society'', Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1987.
* [[Bruno Latour|Latour, Bruno]], ''Science in Action, How to Follow Scientists and Engineers through Society'', Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1987.
* [[John Losee|Losee, John]], ''A Historical Introduction to the Philosophy of Science'', Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK, 1972.  2nd edition, 1980.
* [[William McComas|McComas, William F.]], ed. [http://www.usc.edu/dept/education/science-edu/Myths%20of%20Science.pdf The Principle Elements of the Nature of Science: Dispelling the Myths], from ''The Nature of Science in Science Education'', pp53-70, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Netherlands 1998.
* [[William McComas|McComas, William F.]], ed. [http://www.usc.edu/dept/education/science-edu/Myths%20of%20Science.pdf The Principle Elements of the Nature of Science: Dispelling the Myths], from ''The Nature of Science in Science Education'', pp53-70, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Netherlands 1998.
* [[Cheryl J. Misak|Misak, Cheryl J.]], ''Truth and the End of Inquiry, A Peircean Account of Truth'', Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK, 1991.
* [[Allen Newell|Newell, Allen]], ''Unified Theories of Cognition'', Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1990.
* [[Massimo Piattelli-Palmarini|Piattelli-Palmarini, Massimo]] (ed.), ''Language and Learning, The Debate between Jean Piaget and Noam Chomsky'', Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1980.
* [[Henri Poincaré|Poincaré, Henri]], ''Science and Hypothesis'', 1905, [http://spartan.ac.brocku.ca/~lward/Poincare/Poincare_1905_toc.html Eprint]
* [[Henri Poincaré|Poincaré, Henri]], ''Science and Hypothesis'', 1905, [http://spartan.ac.brocku.ca/~lward/Poincare/Poincare_1905_toc.html Eprint]
* [[Karl Popper|Popper, Karl R.]], ''Unended Quest, An Intellectual Autobiography'', Open Court, La Salle, IL, 1982.
* [[Karl Popper|Popper, Karl R.]], ''Unended Quest, An Intellectual Autobiography'', Open Court, La Salle, IL, 1982.
* [[Hilary Putnam|Putnam, Hilary]], ''Renewing Philosophy'', Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1992.
* [[Richard Rorty|Rorty, Richard]], ''Philosophy and the Mirror of Nature'', Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 1979.
* [[Abner Shimony|Shimony, Abner]], ''Search for a Naturalistic World View:  Vol. 1, Scientific Method and Epistemology, Vol. 2, Natural Science and Metaphysics'', Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1993.
* [[Paul Thagard|Thagard, Paul]], ''Conceptual Revolutions'', Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 1992.
* [[Paul Thagard|Thagard, Paul]], ''Conceptual Revolutions'', Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 1992.
==See also==
===Synopsis of related topics===
{{col-begin}}
{{col-break}}
* [[Confirmability]]
* [[Contingency]]
* [[Falsifiability]]
* [[Hypothesis]]
{{col-break}}
* [[Statistical hypothesis testing|Hypothesis testing]]
* [[Inquiry]]
* [[Reproducibility]]
* [[Research]]
{{col-break}}
* [[Statistics]]
* [[Tautology]]
* [[Testability]]
* [[Theory]]
{{col-end}}
===Logic, mathematics, methodology===
{{col-begin}}
{{col-break}}
* [[Inference]]
** [[Abductive reasoning]]
** [[Deductive reasoning]]
** [[Inductive reasoning]]
{{col-break}}
* [[Information theory]]
* [[Logic]]
* [[Mathematics]]
* [[Methodology]]
{{col-end}}
===Problems and issues===
{{col-begin}}
{{col-break}}
* [[Ockham's razor]]
* [[Poverty of the stimulus]]
* [[Reference class problem]]
{{col-break}}
* [[Underdetermination]]
* [[Holistic science]]
{{col-end}}
===History, philosophy, sociology===
{{col-begin}}
{{col-break}}
* [[Epistemology]]
* [[Epistemic theories of truth|Epistemic truth]]
* [[History of science]]
{{col-break}}
* [[History of scientific method]]
* [[Philosophy of science]]
* [[Science studies]]
{{col-break}}
* [[Social research]]
* [[Sociology of scientific knowledge]]
* [[Timeline of the history of scientific method|Timeline of scientific method]]
{{col-end}}


==External links==
==External links==
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===Humor===
===Humor===
* [http://www.audienceoftwo.com/mag.php?art_id=526 Updated Scientific Method]
* [http://www.audienceoftwo.com/mag.php?art_id=526 Updated Scientific Method]
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Revision as of 10:50, 24 December 2006

Scientific method is the way that scientists investigate phenomena and acquire new knowledge. It is based on observable, empirical, measurable evidence, and subject to laws of reasoning. Scientists propose hypotheses to explain phenomena, and design experimental studies to test these. Theories that encompass whole domains of inquiry bind hypotheses together into logically coherent wholes. This aids in formulating new hypotheses, as well as in placing groups of hypotheses into a broader context.

Elements of scientific method

"Science is a way of thinking much more than it is a body of knowledge." (Carl Sagan[1]).

". . .science consists in grouping facts so that general laws or conclusions may be drawn from them." (Charles Darwin)

The following examples are typical classifications of the most important components of the method


The element of observation includes both unconditioned observations (before any theory) as well as the observation of the experiment and its results. The element of experimental design must consider the elements of hypothesis development, prediction, and the effects and limits of observation because all of these elements are typically necessary for a valid experiment.

Imre Lakatos and Thomas Kuhn had done extensive work on the "theory laden" character of observation. Kuhn (1961) maintained that the scientist generally has a theory in mind before designing and undertaking experiments so as to make empirical observations, and that the "route from theory to measurement can almost never be travelled backward". This perspective implies that the way in which theory is tested is dictated by the nature of the theory itself which led Kuhn (1961, p. 166) to argue that "once it has been adopted by a profession ... no theory is recognized to be testable by any quantitative tests that it has not already passed".

Each element of scientific method is subject to peer review. These activities do not describe all that scientists do (see below) but apply mostly to experimental sciences (e.g., physics, chemistry). The elements above are often taught in the educational system.[2]

The scientific method is an ongoing cycle, constantly developing more useful, accurate and comprehensive models and methods. For example, when Einstein developed the Special and General Theories of Relativity, he did not in any way refute or discount Newton's Principia. On the contrary, if one reduces out the astronomically large, the vanishingly small, and the extremely fast from Einstein's theories — all phenomena that Newton could not have observed — one is left with Newton's equations. Einstein's theories are expansions and refinements of Newton's theories, and the observations that increase our confidence in them also increase our confidence in Newton's approximations to them.

The Keystones of Science project, sponsored by the journal Science, has selected a number of scientific articles from that journal and annotated them, illustrating how different parts of each article embody the scientific method. Here is an annotated example of the scientific method example titled Microbial Genes in the Human Genome: Lateral Transfer or Gene Loss?.

A linearized, pragmatical scheme of the four above points is sometimes offered as a guideline for proceeding:

The iterative cycle inherent in this step-by-step methodology goes from point 3 to 6 back to 3 again.

While this schema outlines a typical hypothesis/testing method,[3] a number of philosophers, historians and sociologists of science (perhaps most notably Paul Feyerabend) claim that such descriptions of scientific method have little relation to the ways science is actually practiced.

DNA icon (25x25).pngDNA example

Each element of scientific method is illustrated below by an example from the discovery of the structure of DNA:
The examples are continued in "Evaluations and iterations" with DNA/iterations.

Characterizations

The scientific method depends upon increasingly more sophisticated characterizations of subjects of the investigation. (The subjects can also be called lists of unsolved problems or the unknowns.) For example, Benjamin Franklin correctly characterized St. Elmo's fire as electrical in nature, but it has taken many experiments and theory to establish this.

Scientific measurements taken are usually tabulated, graphed, or mapped, and statistical analyses of them. The measurements might be made in a controlled setting, such as a laboratory, or made on more or less inaccessible or unmanipulatable objects such as stars or human populations. The measurements often require specialized scientific instruments such as thermometers, spectroscopes, or voltmeters, and the progress of a scientific field is usually intimately tied to their invention and development.

Measurements also demand the use of operational definitions of relevant quantities. That is, a scientific quantity is described or defined by how it is measured, as opposed to some more vague, inexact or "idealized" definition. For example, electrical current, measured in amperes, may be operationally defined in terms of the mass of silver deposited in a certain time on an electrode in an electrochemical device that is described in some detail. The operational definition of a thing often relies on comparisons with standards: the operational definition of "mass" ultimately relies on the use of an artifact, such as a certain kilogram of platinum-iridium kept in a laboratory in France.

The scientific definition of a term sometimes differs substantially from their natural language usage. For example, mass and weight overlap in meaning in common discourse, but have distinct meanings in physics. Scientific quantities are often characterized by their units of measure which can later be described in terms of conventional physical units when communicating the work.

Measurements are also usually accompanied by estimates of their uncertainty. The uncertainty is often estimated by making repeated measurements. Uncertainties may also be calculated by consideration of the uncertainties of the individual underlying quantities that are used. Counts of things, such as the number of people in a nation at a particular time, may also have an uncertainty due to limitations of the method used. Counts may only represent a sample of desired quantities, with an uncertainty that depends upon the sampling method used and the number of samples taken.

New theories sometimes arise upon realizing that certain terms had not previously been sufficiently clearly defined. For example, Albert Einstein's first paper on relativity begins by defining simultaneity and the means for determining length. These ideas were skipped over by Isaac Newton with, "I do not define time, space, place and motion, as being well known to all." Einstein's paper then demonstrates that they (viz., absolute time and length independent of motion) were approximations. Francis Crick cautions us that when characterizing a subject, however, it can be premature to define something when it remains ill-understood.[4] In Crick's study of consciousness, he actually found it easier to study awareness in the visual system, rather than to study Free Will, for example. His cautionary example was the gene; the gene was much more poorly understood before Watson and Crick's pioneering discovery of the structure of DNA; it would have been counterproductive to spend much time on the definition of the gene, before them.

DNA icon (25x25).pngDNA/characterizations

The history of the discovery of the structure of DNA is a classic example of the elements of scientific method: in 1950 it was known that genetic inheritance had a mathematical description, starting with the studies of Gregor Mendel, but the mechanism was unclear. Researchers in Bragg's laboratory at Cambridge University made X-ray diffraction pictures of various molecules, starting with crystals of salt, and proceeding to more complicated substances. Using clues painstakingly assembled over the course of decades, beginning with its chemical composition, it was determined that it should be possible to characterize the physical structure of DNA, and the X-ray images would be the vehicle.

Precession of Mercury

Precession of the perihelion (very exaggerated)

The characterization element can require extended and extensive study. It took thousands of years of measurements, from the Chaldean, Indian, Persian, Greek, Arabic and European astronomers, to record the motion of planet Earth. Newton condensed these measurements into consequences of his laws of motion, but the perihelion of the planet Mercury's orbit exhibits a precession which is not fully explained by Newton's laws of motion. The observed difference for Mercury's precession, between Newtonian theory and relativistic theory (approximately 43 arc-seconds per century), was one of the things that occurred to Einstein as a possible early test of his theory of General Relativity.

Hypothesis development

A hypothesis is a suggested explanation of a phenomenon, or a reasoned proposal suggesting a possible correlation between or among a set of phenomena. Hypotheses may have the form of a mathematical model, or they can be formulated as existential statements, stating that some particular instance of the phenomenon being studied has some characteristic and causal explanations, which have the general form of universal statements, stating that every instance of the phenomenon has a particular characteristic.

Scientists are free to use whatever resources they have — their own creativity, ideas from other fields, induction, Bayesian inference, and so on — to imagine possible explanations for a phenomenon under study. Charles Sanders Peirce, borrowing a page from Aristotle (Prior Analytics, 2.25) described the incipient stages of inquiry, instigated by the "irritation of doubt" to venture a plausible guess, as abductive reasoning. The history of science is filled with stories of scientists claiming a "flash of inspiration", or a hunch, which then motivated them to look for evidence to support or refute their idea. Michael Polanyi made such creativity the centrepiece of his discussion of methodology.

Karl Popper argued that a hypothesis must be falsifiable, and that a proposition or theory cannot be called scientific if it does not admit the possibility of being shown false. It must at least in principle be possible to make an observation that would show the proposition to be false, even if that observation had not yet been made.

William Glen observes that

the success of a hypothesis, or its service to science, lies not simply in its perceived "truth", or power to displace, subsume or reduce a predecessor idea, but perhaps more in its ability to stimulate the research that will illuminate … bald suppositions and areas of vagueness.[5]

In general, scientists tend to look for theories that are "elegant" or "beautiful". In contrast to the usual English use of these terms, they here refer to a theory in accordance with the known facts, which is nevertheless relatively simple and easy to handle. If a model is mathematically too complicated, it is hard to deduce any prediction. Note that 'simplicity' may be perceived differently by different individuals and cultures.

DNA icon (25x25).pngDNA/hypotheses

Linus Pauling proposed that DNA was a triple helix. Francis Crick and James Watson learned of Pauling's hypothesis, understood from existing data that Pauling was wrong and realized that Pauling would soon realize his mistake. So the race was on to figure out the correct structure. Except that Pauling did not realize at the time that he was in a race!

Predictions from the hypotheses

Any useful hypothesis will enable predictions, by reasoning including deductive reasoning. It might predict the outcome of an experiment in a laboratory setting or the observation of a phenomenon in nature. The prediction can also be statistical and only talk about probabilities.

DNA icon (25x25).pngDNA/predictions

When Watson and Crick hypothesized that DNA was a double helix, Francis Crick predicted that an X-ray diffraction image of DNA would show an X-shape. Also in their first paper they predicted that the double helix structure that they discovered would prove important in biology writing "It has not escaped our notice that the specific pairing we have postulated immediately suggests a possible copying mechanism for the genetic material".

General Relativity

Einstein's theory of General Relativity makes several specific predictions about the observable structure of space-time, such as a prediction that light bends in a gravitational field and that the amount of bending depends in a precise way on the strength of that gravitational field. Arthur Eddington's observations made during a 1919 solar eclipse supported General Relativity rather than Newtonian gravitation.

Experiments

Template:Mainarticle Once predictions are made, they can be tested by experiments. If the outcome contradicts the predictions, then the hypotheses are called into question and explanations may be sought. Sometimes experiments are conducted incorrectly and are at fault. If the results confirm the predictions, then the hypotheses are considered likely to be correct but might still be wrong and are subject to further testing.

Scientists assume an attitude of openness and accountability on the part of those conducting an experiment. Detailed record keeping is essential, to provide evidence of the effectiveness and integrity of the procedure and to also assist in reproducing the experimental results. This tradition can be seen in the work of Hipparchus (190 BCE - 120 BCE), when determining a value for the precession of the Earth over 2100 years ago, and 1000 years before Al-Batani.


DNA icon (25x25).pngDNA/experiments

Before proposing their model Watson and Crick had previously seen x-ray diffraction images by Rosalind Franklin, Maurice Wilkins, and Raymond Gosling. However, they later reported that Franklin initially rebuffed their suggestion that DNA might be a double helix. Franklin had immediately spotted flaws in the initial hypotheses about the structure of DNA by Watson and Crick. The X-shape in X-ray images helped confirm the helical structure of DNA.

Evaluation and iteration

The scientific process is iterative. At any stage it is possible that some consideration will lead the scientist to repeat an earlier part of the process. Failure to develop an interesting hypothesis may lead a scientist to redefine the subject they are considering. Failure of a hypothesis to produce interesting and testable predictions may lead to reconsideration of the hypothesis or of the definition of the subject. Failure of the experiment to produce interesting results may lead the scientist to reconsidering the experimental method, the hypothesis or the definition of the subject.

Other scientists may start their own research and enter the process at any stage. They might adopt the characterization and formulate their own hypothesis, or they might adopt the hypothesis and deduce their own predictions. Often the experiment is not done by the person who made the prediction and the characterization is based on experiments done by someone else. Published results of experiments can also serve as a hypothesis predicting their own reproducibility.

DNA icon (25x25).pngDNA/iterations

After considerable fruitless experimentation, being discouraged by their superior from continuing, and numerous false starts, Watson and Crick were able to infer the essential structure of DNA by concrete modelling of the physical shapes of the nucleotides which comprise it. They were guided by the bond lengths which had been deduced by Linus Pauling and the X-ray diffraction images of Rosalind Franklin.

Confirmation

Science is a social enterprise, and scientific work tends to be accepted by the community when it has been confirmed. Crucially, experimental and theoretical results must be reproduced by others within the science community. Researchers have given their lives for this vision; Georg Wilhelm Richmann was killed by lightning (1753) when attempting to replicate the 1752 kite experiment of Benjamin Franklin.[6]

Models of scientific inquiry

For more information, see: Models of scientific inquiry.


The classical model of scientific inquiry derives from Aristotle, who distinguished the forms of approximate and exact reasoning, set out the threefold scheme of abductive, deductive, and inductive inference, and also treated the compound forms such as reasoning by analogy.

For more information, see: Pragmatic theory of truth.

Charles Peirce considered scientific inquiry to be a species of the genus inquiry, which he defined as any means of fixing belief, that is, any means of arriving at a settled opinion on a matter in question. He observed that inquiry in general begins with a state of uncertainty and moves toward a state of certainty, sufficient at least to terminate the inquiry for the time being. He graded the prevalent forms of inquiry according to their evident success in achieving their common objective, scoring scientific inquiry at the high end of this scale. At the low end he placed what he called the method of tenacity, a die-hard attempt to deny uncertainty and fixate on a favored belief. Next in line he placed the method of authority, a determined attempt to conform to a chosen source of ready-made beliefs. After that he placed what might be called the method of congruity, also called the a priori, the dilettante, or the what is agreeable to reason method. Peirce observed the fact of human nature that almost everybody uses almost all of these methods at one time or another, and that even scientists, being human, use the method of authority far more than they like to admit. But what recommends the specifically scientific method of inquiry above all others is the fact that it is deliberately designed to arrive at the ultimately most secure beliefs, upon which the most successful actions can be based.

Computational approaches

Many subspecialties of applied logic and computer science, including artificial intelligence, computational learning theory, inferential statistics, and knowledge representation, are concerned with setting out computational, logical, and statistical frameworks for the various types of inference involved in scientific inquiry, in particular, hypothesis formation, logical deduction, and empirical testing. Some of these draw on measures of complexity from algorithmic information theory to guide the making of predictions from prior distributions of experience, for example, see the complexity measure called the speed prior from which a computable strategy for optimal inductive reasoning can be derived.

Philosophical issues

For more information, see: Philosophy of science.


Scientific researchers generally express a high level of confidence in scientific method. What justifies their level of confidence that scientific method, under some conception, model, or recipe, is truly a good way to achieve the knowledge that it promises? That is a question about the grounds of validity of scientific method, also referred to as the problem of justification or warrant. While the philosophy of science has limited direct impact on day-to-day scientific practice, it plays a vital role in justifying and defending the scientific approach. There is disagreement over whether there is a single 'scientific method' or many of them.

Philosophers of science are interested in to what extent the actual practice of scientists conforms to the espoused methods or the ostensible norms, to which most of them apparently assent; some question whether scientific knowledge is actually produced by a defined, describable, or determinate methodology (see, for instance, the writings of Feyerabend and Kuhn).

We find ourselves in a world that is not directly understandable. We sometimes disagree about the facts of the things we see in the world around us, and some things in the world are at odds with our understanding. The scientific method attempts to provide a way in which we can reach agreement and understanding. A "perfect" scientific method might work in such a way that rational application of the method would always result in agreement and understanding; a perfect method would arguably be algorithmic, and not leave any room for rational agents to disagree. As with all philosophical topics, the search has been neither straightforward nor simple. Logical Positivist, empiricist, falsificationist, and other theories have claimed to give a definitive account of the logic of science, but each has been criticised.

Werner Heisenberg in a quote that he attributed to Albert Einstein many years later, stated [Heisenberg 1971]:

It is quite wrong to try founding a theory on observable magnitudes alone. In reality the very opposite happens. It is the theory which decides what we can observe. You must appreciate that observation is a very complicated process. The phenomenon under observation produces certain events in our measuring apparatus. As a result, further processes take place in the apparatus, which eventually and by complicated paths produce sense impressions and help us to fix the effects in our consciousness. Along this whole path—from the phenomenon to its fixation in our consciousness—we must be able to tell how nature functions, must know the natural laws at least in practical terms, before we can claim to have observed anything at all. Only theory, that is, knowledge of natural laws, enables us to deduce the underlying phenomena from our sense impressions. When we claim that we can observe something new, we ought really to be saying that, although we are about to formulate new natural laws that do not agree with the old ones, we nevertheless assume that the existing laws—covering the whole path from the phenomenon to our consciousness—function in such a way that we can rely upon them and hence speak of “observation”.

Considerations such as these led Feyerabend to deny that science is genuinely a methodological process. In his book Against Method he argues that scientific progress is not the result of applying any particular method. In essence, he says that "anything goes", by which he meant that for any specific methodology or norm of science, successful science has been done in violation of it. Criticisms such as his led to a rise in the study of the scientific enterprise as a social phenomenon. To the degree that sociological studies focus on cooperation and appreciation as well as conflict both within the scientific communities and beyond, however, the sociology of science is also quite capable of accounting for sociological components of the success of the scientific enterprise which for much of the 20th century had fairly widely been taken as granted. The strong programme has put forward a perspective of just this kind.

Problem of demarcation

The problem of evaluating a system of thought with regard to its status as science is often called the demarcation problem. The criteria for a system of assumptions, methods, and theories to qualify as science vary in their details from application to application, but they typically include (1) the formulation of hypotheses that meet the logical criterion of contingency, defeasibility, or falsifiability and the closely related empirical and practical criterion of testability, (2) a grounding in empirical evidence, and (3) the use of scientific method. The procedures of science typically include a number of heuristic guidelines, such as the principles of conceptual economy or theoretical parsimony that fall under the rubric of Ockham's razor. The following is a list of additional features that are highly desirable in a scientific theory.

  • Consistent. Generates no obvious logical contradictions, and 'saves the phenomena', being consistent with observation.
  • Parsimonious. Economical in the number of assumptions and hypothetical entities.
  • Pertinent. Describes and explains observed phenomena.
  • Falsifiable and testable.
  • Reproducible.
  • Correctable and dynamic.
  • Integrative, robust, and corrigible. Subsumes previous theories as approximations, and allows possible subsumption by future theories. See Correspondence principle
  • Provisional or tentative. Does not assert the absolute certainty of the theory.

Communication, community, culture

Often the scientific method is not employed by a single person, but by several cooperating directly or indirectly. Such cooperation can be regarded as one of the defining elements of a scientific community. Various techniques have been developed to ensure the integrity of the scientific method within such an environment.

Peer review evaluation

Scientific journals use a process of peer review, in which manuscripts are submitted by editors of scientific journals to (usually one to three) fellow (usually anonymous) scientists familiar with the field for evaluation. The referees may or may not recommend publication, publication with suggested modifications, or, sometimes, publication in another journal. This helps to keep the scientific literature free of unscientific work, reduces obvious errors, and generally otherwise improve the quality of the scientific literature. The peer review process has been criticised, but has been very widely adopted by the scientific community.

Documentation and replication

Sometimes experimenters may make systematic errors during their experiments, or (in rare cases) deliberately falsify their results. Consequently, it is a common practice for other scientists to attempt to repeat the experiments in order to duplicate the results, thus further validating the hypothesis. As a result, experimenters are expected to maintain detailed records of their experiments, to provide evidence of the effectiveness and integrity of the procedure and assist in reproduction. These procedural records may also assist in the conception of new experiments to test the hypothesis, and may prove useful to engineers who might examine the potential practical applications of a discovery. Note that it is not possible for a scientist to record everything that took place in an experiment. He must select the facts he believes to be relevant to the experiment and report them. This may lead to problems if some supposedly irrelevant feature is questioned. For example, Heinrich Hertz did not report the size of the room used to test Maxwell's equations, which later turned out to account for a small deviation in the results. The problem is that parts of the theory itself need to be assumed in order to select and report the experimental conditions. Observations are sometimes hence described as being 'theory-laden'.

Dimensions of practice

The primary constraints on contemporary western science are:

  • Publication, i.e. Peer review
  • Resources (mostly funding)

Both of these constraints indirectly bring in a scientific method — work that too obviously violates the constraints will be difficult to publish and difficult to get funded. Journals do not require submitted papers to conform to anything more specific than "good scientific practice" and this is mostly enforced by peer review. Originality, importance and interest are more important - see for example the author guidelines for Nature.

Criticisms (see Critical theory) of these restraints are that they are so nebulous in definition (e.g. "good scientific practice") and open to ideological, or even political, manipulation apart from a rigorous practice of a scientific method, that they often serve to censor rather than promote scientific discovery. Apparent censorship through refusal to publish ideas unpopular with mainstream scientists (unpopular because of ideological reasons and/or because they seem to contradict long held scientific theories) has soured the popular perception of scientists as being neutral or seekers of truth and often denigrated popular perception of science as a whole.

History

For more information, see: History of scientific method.
See also Timeline of the history of scientific method

The development of the scientific method is inseparable from the history of science itself. Ancient Egyptian documents, such as early papyri, describe methods of medical diagnosis. In ancient Greek culture, the first elements of the inductive scientific method clearly become well established. Significant progress in methodology was made in early Muslim philosophy, in particular using experiments to distinguish between competing scientific theories set within a generally empirical orientation. The fundamental tenets of the basic scientific method crystallized no later than the rise of the modern physical sciences, in the 17th and 18th centuries. In his work Novum Organum (1620) — a reference to Aristotle's OrganonFrancis Bacon outlined a new system of logic to improve upon the old philosophical process of syllogism. Then, in 1637, René Descartes established the framework for a scientific method's guiding principles in his treatise, Discourse on Method. These writings are considered critical in the historical development of the scientific method.

In the late 19th century, Charles Sanders Peirce proposed a schema that would turn out to have considerable influence in the development of current scientific method generally. Speaking in broader context in "How to Make Our Ideas Clear" (1878) [2], Peirce outlined an objectively verifiable method to test the truth of putative knowledge on a way that goes beyond mere foundational alternatives, focusing upon both deduction and induction. He thus placed induction and deduction in a complementary rather than competitive context (the latter of which had been the primary trend at least since David Hume, who wrote in the mid-to-late 18th century). Secondly, Peirce put forth the basic schema for hypotheis/testing that continues to prevail today. Extracting the theory of inquiry from its raw materials in classical logic, he refined it in parallel with the early development of symbolic logic to address the then-current problems in scientific reasoning. Peirce examined and articulated the three fundamental modes of reasoning that, as discussed above, play a role in inquiry today, the processes currently known as abductive, deductive, and inductive inference.

Karl Popper (1902-1994), beginning in the 1930s argued that a hypothesis must be falsifiable and, following Peirce and others, that science would best progress using deductive reasoning as its primary emphasis, known as critical rationalism. His astute formulations of logical procedure helped to rein in exessive use of inductive speculation upon inductive speculation, and also strengthened the conceptual foundation for today's peer review procedures.

Notes and references

  1. Sagan C. The fine art of baloney detection. Parade Magazine, p 12­13, Feb 1, 1987.
  2. In the inquiry-based education paradigm, the stage of "characterization, observation, definition, …" is more briefly summed up under the rubric of a Question.
  3. See, e.g., Gauch, Hugh G., Jr., Scientific Method in Practice (2003), esp. chapters 5-8
  4. Crick, Francis (1994), The Astonishing Hypothesis ISBN 0-684-19431-7 p.20
  5. Glen,William (ed.), The Mass-Extinction Debates: How Science Works in a Crisis, Stanford University Press, Stanford, CA, 1994. ISBN 0-8047-2285-4. pp. 37-38.
  6. See, e.g., Physics Today, Vol. 59, #1, p42. [1]
  • Aristotle, "Prior Analytics", Hugh Tredennick (trans.), pp. 181-531 in Aristotle, Volume 1, Loeb Classical Library, William Heinemann, London, UK, 1938.
  • Peirce CS, Essays in the Philosophy of Science, Vincent Tomas (ed.), Bobbs–Merrill, New York, NY, 1957.
  • Peirce CS, "Lectures on Pragmatism", Cambridge, MA, March 26 – May 17, 1903. Reprinted in part, Collected Papers, CP 5.14–212. Reprinted with Introduction and Commentary, Patricia Ann Turisi (ed.), Pragmatism as a Principle and a Method of Right Thinking: The 1903 Harvard "Lectures on Pragmatism", State University of New York Press, Albany, NY, 1997. Reprinted, pp. 133–241, Peirce Edition Project (eds.), The Essential Peirce, Selected Philosophical Writings, Volume 2 (1893–1913), Indiana University Press, Bloomington, IN, 1998.
  • Peirce, C.S., Collected Papers of Charles Sanders Peirce, vols. 1-6, Charles Hartshorne and Paul Weiss (eds.), vols. 7-8, Arthur W. Burks (ed.), Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1931-1935, 1958. Cited as CP vol.para.

Further reading

  • Bacon, Francis Novum Organum (The New Organon), 1620. Bacon's work described many of the accepted principles, underscoring the importance of Theory, empirical results, data gathering, experiment, and independent corroboration.
  • Bauer, Henry H., Scientific Literacy and the Myth of the Scientific Method, University of Illinois Press, Champaign, IL, 1992
  • Beveridge, William I. B., The Art of Scientific Investigation, Vintage/Alfred A. Knopf, 1957.
  • Bernstein, Richard J., Beyond Objectivism and Relativism: Science, Hermeneutics, and Praxis, University of Pennsylvania Press, Philadelphia, PA, 1983.
  • Dewey, John, How We Think, D.C. Heath, Lexington, MA, 1910. Reprinted, Prometheus Books, Buffalo, NY, 1991.
  • Feyerabend, Paul K., Against Method, Outline of an Anarchistic Theory of Knowledge, 1st published, 1975. Reprinted, Verso, London, UK, 1978.
  • Heisenberg, Werner, Physics and Beyond, Encounters and Conversations, A.J. Pomerans (trans.), Harper and Row, New York, NY 1971, pp. 63–64.
  • Kuhn, Thomas S., "The Function of Measurement in Modern Physical Science", ISIS 52(2), 161–193, 1961.
  • Kuhn, Thomas S., The Structure of Scientific Revolutions, University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1962. 2nd edition 1970. 3rd edition 1996.
  • Kuhn, Thomas S., The Essential Tension, Selected Studies in Scientific Tradition and Change, University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, 1977.
  • Latour, Bruno, Science in Action, How to Follow Scientists and Engineers through Society, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1987.
  • McComas, William F., ed. The Principle Elements of the Nature of Science: Dispelling the Myths, from The Nature of Science in Science Education, pp53-70, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Netherlands 1998.
  • Poincaré, Henri, Science and Hypothesis, 1905, Eprint
  • Popper, Karl R., Unended Quest, An Intellectual Autobiography, Open Court, La Salle, IL, 1982.
  • Thagard, Paul, Conceptual Revolutions, Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 1992.

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